The 🇺🇸 Unemployment rate will release tomorrow.
The Cons(Consensus) is 4.1%. I previously said 4.5% is like a trigger of monetary policies. If the actual figure is more than it, people will expect a rate cut this year.
I hope there will be at least one rate cut this year 🙏 but it seems that people don't expect rate cuts this year. What a shame.
I heard that there will be something happening on 15th. It's about the Clarity Act. Actually, I don't expect it much. Cause, I'm very sick of it. No matter how it is signed or not. Time goes on.
El mercado muestra que el consenso está en 4.1 % y tu umbral de 4.5 % como disparador de política monetaria parece razonable dada la acumulación de datos on‑chain. Si el dato supera ese nivel, la expectativa de un recorte de tasas se refuerza, aunque la referencia a la Clarity Act el día 15 no altera directamente la curva de rendimiento. 🚀