#probabilityUnmoderated tagAll postsExplore CommunitiesTrending CommunitiesNewcomers' CommunitySteemit FeedbackSteemitCryptoAcademyআমার বাংলা ব্লগSteem AllianceKorea • 한국 • KR • KOBeauty of CreativitySTEEM CN/中文Tron Fan ClubComunidad LatinaSteem POD TeamAVLE 일상#probabilityTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedratmodifier (34)in #rtp • 18 days ago711Bet Sports Data Versioning: Why Opening, Current and Closing Odds Need Timestamps711Bet Sports Data Versioning: Why Opening, Current and Closing Odds Need Timestamps A data-literacy guide to…cityrat (36)in #rtp • last monthWhy RTP Describes Long-Run Averages, Not a Session GuaranteeWhy RTP Describes Long-Run Averages, Not a Session Guarantee A practical probability-literacy guide to theoretical…ratmodifier (34)in #sports • last monthWhy Sports Probability Is Information, Not CertaintyWhy Sports Probability Is Information, Not Certainty A practical guide to reading forecasts, percentages, model…ratmodifier (34)in #random • last monthWhy a Short Winning Streak Does Not Predict the Next Random ResultWhy a Short Winning Streak Does Not Predict the Next Random Result A practical guide to independence, clustering…jonbit (66)in #probability • last monthWhat is the 4th dimention and how to navagate it?If you were to take a dot and extend a line out, this would be the X. If you were to draw another line from that same…lupafilotaxia (75)in Project HOPE • 2 years agoPesticides and the high probability of death in humansCONTENT Today I wanted to address a highly controversial content, this because the topic I bring you is related to…bumblecat (78)in #us • 2 years agoRecession still unlikely.The probability we were in a recession in July was 1.96% (out of 100). This model uses the major coincident economic…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 2 years agoPolling favours Harris right now.Harris is now leading in Nate Silver's election forecast with a 50.5% chance to win the election fwiw. Harris has a…pomeline (79)in #nber • 2 years agoRecession probability.So I've often posted the NBER recession probability model using four major economic indicators. There's another…zafrada (78)in #economy • 2 years agoRecession probability.The probability we were in a recession in April was 0.9%. This model undergoes revision as more data becomes…pomeline (79)in #andrew • 2 years agoHuberman math!Lol this dude has 5 million followers on Instagram. It is 74% if you use correct independent probability btw. And if…zafrada (78)in #america • 2 years agoRecession probability remains low.The probability we were in a recession in March was 0.5%. This model undergoes revision as more data becomes…zafrada (78)in #fred • 2 years agoRecession probability is up, but overall still very low.The probability we were in a recession in February was 1.48%. That's tied for the highest level in the last few years…zafrada (78)in #economy • 3 years agoRecession probabilities remain low.The probability we were in a recession in November was only 0.82%. October's probability got revised down to 0.88%. So…pomeline (79)in #probability • 3 years agoa subjectivist interpretation of probability.Logicism seems only to be widely recognized as objectivist exactly in the case of the objective Bayesians, who add an…zafrada (78)in #economy • 3 years agoRecession probability.The probability we were in a recession in October was 2.22%. Highest point in recent months, though far below what…arbitration (78)in #numbers • 3 years agoThis isn't as good as the Monty Hall Paradox, but I learned a new one today.In a random list of digits, which of these sequences would you expect to find first, or are the odds equal? 12345 vs…rkeles (26)in #data • 3 years agoDiscover Probabilities with Up-to-Date Data: The Secret of Bayes' TheoremBayes' theorem is an important concept used in probability theory and statistics. It allows us to update the…pomeline (79)in #economy • 3 years agoProbability of recession.The probability we were in a recession in March was 0.7% according to the model that uses the coincident economic…kenji11 (57)in #earthquake • 4 years agoLately, there have been a lot of news and documentary programs about preparing for another major earthquake. | 最近は、また大地震についてのニュースやドキュメンタリーなどの番組がよくやっていますね。今日も大地震のニュースや番組が、やっていましたがこれは近々大地震が起こる可能性があるからだと思いますし日本は30年以内に大地震が起こる確率が、70％～80％と言われておりまた地震が連発する可能性もあると言われています。 Today…
